Answers to fantasy baseball questions since 1996
{ Monthly Archives }
Ken Griffey’s demise and Juan Gonzalez’s increasing trade value causes me to revisit a preseason mlb.com column. Clearly, on average, my advice was sound, though I wish I’d said, “You won’t find me going for either of these guys unless their price is half of what I hope they’ll earn. Odds are good that both will miss serious time with an injury of some sort. There’s no reason to bet aggressively against that.”
I’m on the road for the summer, and so far it has been a nightmare. Yet, it has rained nearly everday, but the bigger problem is that everywhere I go (and this is in the information corridor and it’s beach-like adjuncts) the phones are down, there is no cable, Starbucks doesn’t have broadband.
All of this makes it hard to sustain my presence here at Ask Rotoman.
So, I have something to point out:
In all the NY papers today ALL the Yankees news was about how Raul Mondesi was benched and Karim Garcia would play against all righties until the all star break (which meant all the Yankees’ games until the ASB.
Well, the Blue Jays started righty John Wasdin and lo and behold Mondesi, who really did carry the Yanks for April and May (along with Al Soriano, surely), started.
Which addresses all the questions I get about starting lineups. The fact is, they’re good until they ain’t. And there’s nothing you can do about it..
And now I take my leave. You’ll find some comments from time to time on the Discussion board (and thanks for the questions, always). You may also find me at pattonandco.com, which is still worth the $10 even if nobody posts another comment the rest of the year.
But lots of smart folks will.
And maybe I’ll show up here. The good thing about not asking for anyone’s money is I buy a little freedom. I’m travelling and the one thing you can count on is I’ll be posting an Ask Rotoman column every Tuesday.
I appreciate your comments on the discussion group, you questions for the column, your contributions at pattonandco.com.
Have a good summer.
Peter
Rob is right that Mora may never again be an All Star, and he’s almost certainly right that he’ll not hit .360 or whatever he’s at today the rest of the way.
But Mora has always been a bad contact hitter who clearly knew the strike zone. He’s taken plenty of walks, which is why he has a big league job. As a fantasy player that’s why he’s on my team. And if my team does well this year I want credit for that.
It’s perfectly reasonable to assess the possibility that MM will sustain his hot streak, and essential that we evaluate his 2nd half contribution based on his first half stats. But most importantly we should look at a player’s skills and talents. THe aggregate history of players in a similar postion matters, but it doesn’t tell the whole story.
The fantasy spin so far seems to say that Robbie Alomar will rescue his totally flagging career by getting out of NY.
I hope that’s true. In the American Dream League I have the most waiver dollars, and I’m one offensive player short of first place. Alomar will be a Boneman next Monday, and I wish I was more confident that he’s going to recover.
Shea Stadium is definitely not a good place for hitters. And the sensitive RA definitely had initial problems adjusting to the New York City scene. But he did adjust, he stopped complaining and he never started hitting.
The bottom line is he’s old for a speedster, he’s old for a middle infield force, he’s old.
Two years ago he was also one of the five most productive fantasy hitters in the game. Regardless of postion.
And once before he had some miserable off time, when he was miserable, and when he got happy he got more productive.
To that I have to say: He’s older now. Nobody has ever been happy playing for the White Sox. (Look at the weird failures of Frank Thomas and now Paul Konerko.) And he’s older now.
Still, he’s going to be a new player in a new league who will cut into the playing time of D’Angelo Jiminez and who will play all the games the rest of the way. If he hits .270 with 6 homers and 9 stolen bases he’s going to decide fantasy championships.
Go Robbie.
This week Rotoman addresses the incessant need for pitching. And while the obvious answer is clearly not clear, it is clearly best to go for guys who have been good. Rather than those who might be good.
Unless, of course, you have no choice but to hope that those who might be good actually might turn out to be good.
The bottom line: Go for the guys you know are good. But go for the cheapest of the bunch. Don’t ever pay what you hope someone will be worth.
Then hope you get a little lucky.
That, of course, is a good reason for teams that are out of it to hope they might come back.
